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Nigeria should be out of recession by third quarter – CBN Governor

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With the various economic policies put in place by the Nigerian government, the country should be out of recession by the third quarter of the year, an official has said.

Godwin Emefiele
Godwin Emefiele

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, Godwin Emefiele, made this known after meeting with the leadership of the Senate in Abuja on Tuesday.

Mr. Emefiele who assured that the CBN would continue with its intervention in the foreign exchange market, noted that interventions of the apex bank so far had been yielding positive results.

The CBN boss disclosed that there had been gradual fall in the prices of commodities, indicating a reduction in the rate of inflation.

Mr. Emefiele said, “We are very much optimistic that by the end of the second quarter, or latest the third quarter, we should be out of recession that we are in right now.”

Speaking to journalists after the meeting with the Senate members, the CBN governor said discussions were held between the apex bank and the legislature on the current state of the economy, adding that the Senate President invited the Central Bank to provide updates on the foreign exchange markets.

“You would have observed that in the last two months, the central bank has been involved in some form of intensive intervention in the foreign exchange market and this has fortunately resulted in a downward trend in the parallel market price of foreign exchange , from as high as N 525 to a dollar to as low as N 370,” he said.

“Right now, it hovers between N370 and N380. I think it’s an opportunity for me to say that we are going to continue this intervention because the reserves look very good. As I speak to you, our (external ) reserves stand at above $31 billion and that provides us enough of firepower or ammunition to be able to defend the currency, and we will do so with all intensity to ensure that foreign exchange is procured by everybody.

“If you want to import raw materials , you will get foreign exchange…you want to pay school fees or you are a small business that wants to buy foreign exchange for you to import your small items, you will procure foreign exchange.”

Mr. Emefiele recalled that the Central Bank had last week announced a policy to encourage foreign investors in the country’ s foreign exchange market.

“It is the market or window that is opened for them to bring in their foreign exchange and come into the market on what we call a willing – buyer, willing – seller basis, in which case there will be no form of any price intervention by anybody, including the Central Bank of Nigeria,” he said.

“Indeed, with the kind of firepower that we have, we are also going to play in that market to ensure that as the prices move on based on the managed float regime that we run, we should be able to control the price based on the willing – buyer, willing – seller basis,” he added.

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